Week 11 - ATS Picks

1. Indianapolis -3 @ Tennessee
-Both teams came out of week 10 embarrassed however only the Colts came out healthy. Jake Locker was lost for the season last Sunday and in steps Ryan Fitzpatrick. This gives the Colts a distinctive advantage against the Titans.

2. Pittsburgh +2.5 vs. Detroit
-Last week Detroit narrowly escaped Chicago with a huge divisional win and a season sweep of the Bears. This is not a huge game for them and they may show up with less than 100% effort. Pittsburgh is going to want to win at home again and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. This game means a lot to them and almost nothing to the Lions. Even though the Lions are the better team I see the Steelers stealing this one.

3. Washington +3.5 @ Philadelphia
-Nick Foles has been the luckiest player in the NFL over the last couple of weeks. He just chucks deeps balls into double coverage and they turn into touchdowns. The Redskin defense is lacking but they are due for a couple bounces to go their way after making Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel look like studs. Washington also had a long week to prepare for this divisional game. The Skins may also be looking for revenge after that week 1 blowout suffered at the hands of the Eagles.

4. Jets +1.5 @ Buffalo
-The Jets are in the playoff hunt and will need to beat teams like Buffalo to stay there. They had plenty of time to prepare for this game and won't have any issues with the Buffalo elements assuming bad weather. EJ is still not 100% and neither is CJ. I look for the Jets to complete their sweet of the Bills relying on that stout defensive front.

5. Arizona -6.5 @ Jacksonville
- The Jags are coming off their first win of the season. The Cardnals have a solid team. They have great weapons on the offense(Ellington, Fitzgerald, Houser) and stud defenders(Daryl Washington, Patrick Patterson). Look for them to handle Jacksonville easily.

6. Seattle -12.5 vs. Minnesota
-The Vikings, like the Jags, are coming off a big win. They are on a long week and have had plenty of time to prepare for this game. However the Seahawks last home game did not go well as they were almost upset by the win less buccaneers. Look for the Seahawks to pour it on early and often in this one and they go into their bye week strong.

7. Houston -7 vs. Oakland
-Prior is not 100% and the Texans still have a very good defense. Houston has played solid games of late and they are due for an easy victory over the Raiders and their banged up QB.


8. New England +2.5 @ Carolina
-New England coming out off they bye week should take care of business in Carolina. The Panters barely squeaked out a victory out in California last week after getting down early. Expect the Patriots offense to have some big plays in the game plan to attack this stout Carolina defense.

9. Miami +2 vs. San Diego
-This game definitely seems like it could go either way. The big reason I added this to my sheet of bets is because 90% of the money is on San Diego. That is asking for some weird things to happen.

10. San Fran +3 @ New Orleans
-This is the same situation as the game above. 90% of the money is going on the Saints. This spread seems way too low. As long as Vernon Davis is playing I see this as a very solid bet. The Saints are coming off a nearly perfect performance that will may lead to a letdown this week. The handicappers know something is up and want you to pick New Orleans. The Niners may take this one straight up.