Monday, November 25, 2013

Where's the Money? - Week 12 Edition



This is a breakdown (estimates) of where the public bet their money this week. As you can see the public did very poorly. The more I keep these stats I believe the more we will see this is the best place to look when making decisions on whom to bet. I wish I had started this week 1.

Away Team
 Home Team
# of Vegas Bets
 Vegas Money
 Online Money
My Pick
 Result
 Saints -9
 Falcons
67,000
 82% Saints
 75% Saints
Falcons
Falcons
 Bucs +7.5
 Lions
50,000
 57% Lions
 51% Lions
Lions
Bucs
 Jags +10
 Texans
18,000
 65% Jags
 56% Jags
Texans
Jags
 Vikings +5
Packers
30,000
 52% Packers
 60% Packers
Vikings
Vikings
 Chargers +3.5
 Chiefs
45,000
 72% Cheifs
 66% Chiefs
Chargers
Chargers
 Panthers -4.5
 Dolphins
33,000
 78% Panthers
 72% Panthers
Dolphins
Dolphins
 Steelers +2.5
 Browns
28,000
 81% Steelers
 70% Steelers
Browns
Steelers
 Bears +2
 Rams
24,000
 61% Bears
 53% Bears
Bears
Rams
 Jets +4
 Ravens
40,000
 79% Ravens
 77% Ravens
Jets
Ravens
 Titans -2.5
 Raiders
18,000
 52% Titans
 55% Titans
Raiders
Titans
 Colts +3
 Cardinals
36,000
 65% Colts
 52% Colts
Cardinals
Cardinals
 Cowboys +2.5
 Giants
27,000
 51% Giants
 52% Giants
Cowboys
Cowboys
 Broncos -2.5
 Patriots
40,000
 66% Broncos
 63% Broncos
Patriots
Patriots
49ers -4.5
Redskins
78,000
 82% 49ers
 78% 49ers
Redskins
49ers


Total Bets: 456,000
Public win Record: 6-8

Week 12 Record:
7-7


Week 12 Where’s the money take aways:
1. The public was 6-8 this week for all games.
2. When 65% or more of the public money went the same way the public was 3-5.
3. There was an average of about 30,000 bets place on each game.
4. There were 5 games where more than 40,000 bets were place. In those games the public went 2-4.
5. When 30,000(The average) or more bets were place on a game the public went 2-7.
6. When less than 30,000 bets were place the public was 4-2.

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